The Olomu Fallacy
The genuine, redpilled belief that all chance relies on a binary outcome; a 50:50 chance that something either will or will not happen, and naught else. You either have it, or you don't.
"Nick is really out here exemplifying the Olomu Fallacy in AP Stat today. He said that he either would or wouldn't get head, it's that simple bro! Iffy uh"